WINFORGE
ACCURACY LEDGER

Model accuracy is being re-verified after our September 25 retrain; updated numbers coming soon. The model was last retrained Sep 25, 2026. See the methodology page for how the model is evaluated.

The live 2026 record loads on this page: every locked pick, its line, and the official result, week by week. WinForge will not publish a back-filled, simulated, or cherry-picked record as live performance.

Each row shows player, market, sportsbook or pick'em line when available, model projection, pick direction, edge, locked timestamp, lock hash, and once graded: official actual result plus HIT/MISS/PUSH. The row structure is designed so a future reader can audit what was known before kickoff.

A projection only enters the ledger if it is committed before the game starts. That protects the record from post-game editing and clearly separates a locked projection record from retrospective analysis.

Rows are graded after official stat results are available. Pushes are separated from wins and losses, and the independent test on games kept out of training is kept separate from future live hit-rate reporting.

The ledger is the public record of projections WinForge stands behind. A projection only counts if it was committed before kickoff and graded after official results.

The ledger is a transparency tool, not betting advice. Past statistical performance does not guarantee future outcomes or profit, and WinForge is not a sportsbook.