WINFORGE
FAQ

WinForge is an NFL projection and sports analytics tool from WinForge Analytics LLC. It provides player stat projections, floor/median/ceiling outcome ranges, prop research, and fantasy football context for informational and entertainment purposes only.

WinForge uses historical NFL play-by-play, player usage, opponent defense, injuries, weather, schedule context, and market lines. The model estimates a player stat distribution so users can inspect floor, median, ceiling, and over-line probability instead of only one point estimate.

Edge is the gap between WinForge's estimated probability and the probability implied by a sportsbook or pick'em line. It is a research signal, not a guarantee that a bet will win or be profitable.

Floor, median, and ceiling are points in the simulated outcome range. Floor is a lower-percentile outcome, median is the middle outcome, and ceiling is an upper-percentile outcome. The range helps show how volatile a player projection may be.

WinForge reports accuracy by stat and evaluation window, not as a blanket percent. In the 2025 holdout test after training on 2022-2024 data, WR receiving yards had R2 0.779, QB passing yards had R2 0.775, RB carries had R2 0.895, and WR targets had R2 0.877. R2 measures variance explained, not hit rate or percent accuracy.

No. WinForge is not a sportsbook, does not accept wagers, does not place wagers, and does not facilitate gambling. WinForge provides sports analytics and statistical projections for informational and entertainment purposes only. Users must be 21+ where required and should always gamble responsibly.

WinForge uses public football data sources such as nflverse play-by-play, Next Gen Stats where available, ESPN roster and depth-chart context, weather data, and sportsbook lines from third-party odds providers. Data availability and timing can vary by source.

During the NFL season, player projections refresh with weekly game data, injury context, and market-line updates as source data becomes available. The public accuracy ledger begins live grading in Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season.

No. Football is volatile, projections can be wrong, and past model performance does not guarantee future results or profit. WinForge should be used as research context, not betting advice.

WinForge is currently free during the beta period. Any future paid tiers should be evaluated based on the features, methodology, and public accuracy ledger available at that time.