NFL prop research

WINFORGE
NFL PROP RESEARCH

ML-powered player stat projections, Monte Carlo simulation, and prop edge analysis for DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, and more.

PROJECTIONS YOU CAN INSPECT

WinForge is an NFL player-projection and prop-research tool from WinForge Analytics LLC. It is built to show the range around a player stat, not just a single point estimate. Each projection is framed with floor, median, ceiling, volatility, and model confidence so a user can see whether a player is stable, matchup-sensitive, or dependent on a narrow game script.

WHO WINFORGE IS FOR

WinForge is designed for fantasy football players, DFS researchers, and prop researchers who want more context before they compare a player line on PrizePicks, DraftKings, FanDuel, or another market. It is informational sports analytics only, not a sportsbook, not betting advice, and not a promise of profit. Users must be 21+ where required and should treat every projection as research context.

PUBLIC METHODOLOGY

Read how WinForge builds projections: specialized models, public data sources, football context, simulation, and honest accuracy caveats. The model studies usage, target share, carry share, opponent defense, injuries, weather, travel, schedule context, and market information where available. The football logic is simple: role creates opportunity, matchup shapes efficiency, and late injury or depth-chart news can move volume quickly.

2025 HOLDOUT YARDAGE CHECK

On 2025 holdout WR receiving yards, WinForge missed by about 11 yards on average versus about 24 for FantasyPros/DraftKings comparison lines. This is a stat/window-specific MAE benchmark, not a guarantee that every pick wins or that future betting will be profitable.

WHAT MAKES IT DIFFERENT

WinForge pairs model projections with a public accuracy ledger and a model-vs-consensus view. The ledger separates historical holdout validation from future live grading, while the consensus page shows where WinForge ranks differ from the broader fantasy market. A difference is a research flag, not proof that the model is right.

ACCURACY LEDGER

WinForge publishes projection receipts logged before kickoff and graded after. See the public accuracy ledger for the record.