Week 1 NFL player projection
Andrei Iosivas
PROJECTION
Andrei Iosivas is a CIN WR facing TB in Week 1. He averaged 29 receiving yards across 15 recorded 2025 games, in a range from 0 to 82. Below: the WinForge median projection, then the record it has to be judged against.
MEDIAN PROJECTION
WinForge projection (median)
49
Receiving Yards
WinForge projection (median)
4
Receptions
CIN vs TB · Sun, Sep 13 · updated Jul 18, 2026. These weekly projections are prepared for Week 1. This is the median: half of the outcomes WinForge simulates land above it and half below.
WHAT THE RECORD SHOWS
Andrei Iosivas is on a clear upward line. Per game he went from 12.9 in 2023 to 29 in 2025 — up 125% — on 25 then 58 targets.
Measured against this week's 48.8 projection, he cleared it in 4 of 15 games last season.
Split his 15 games down the middle and the two halves do not match: 33.7 receiving yards per game early, then 24.9 late.
HOW HE ACTUALLY FINISHED IN 2025
29
Receiving Yards / game
4/15
games clearing this projection
58
targets
77%
avg snap share
White line = his actual median (21). Gold line = this week's WinForge projection (48.8). This bar is built from recorded results, not a modelled range.
THE SHAPE OF HIS 2025 SEASON
His 2025 weeks were not evenly spread. The best was 82 receiving yards in Week 5 against DET; the quietest was 0 in Week 15 against BAL. He finished above his own 29-per-game average in 5 of 15 games.
He accounted for at least one touchdown in 2 of 15 games, never more than one in a game. Scoring is the most volatile part of any projection, so a record built on a handful of multi-score weeks reads differently from one spread evenly.
His longest single play on record in 2025 went for 37 yards. That single play is worth about 128% of an average game for him, which is the difference between a total built on steady volume and one that depends on a single play landing.
His role moved during the season: roughly 89% of snaps across his first 4 recorded games, then 60% across his last 4 — a shrinking share. Role changes travel into the next season more reliably than yardage does.
Across those games he handled 58 targets and 3 carries.
2025 GAME LOG
| Wk | Matchup | Rec/Tgt | Receiving Yards | TD | Snap | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CIN vs JAX | 1/5 | 12 | 0 | 84% | 12 |
| 4 | CIN vs DEN | 1/1 | 22 | 0 | 90% | 22 |
| 5 | CIN vs DET | 5/7 | 82 | 0 | 87% | 30 |
| 6 | CIN vs GB | 1/4 | 5 | 0 | 94% | 5 |
| 7 | CIN vs PIT | 3/4 | 49 | 0 | 70% | 37 |
| 8 | CIN vs NYJ | 0/3 | 0 | 0 | 80% | -- |
| 9 | CIN vs CHI | 5/7 | 66 | 1 | 84% | 28 |
| 11 | CIN vs PIT | 3/4 | 20 | 0 | 74% | 11 |
| 12 | CIN vs NE | 4/7 | 61 | 0 | 83% | 19 |
| 13 | CIN vs BAL | 1/2 | 29 | 1 | 94% | 29 |
| 14 | CIN vs BUF | 2/3 | 17 | 0 | 65% | 11 |
| 15 | CIN vs BAL | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- |
| 16 | CIN vs MIA | 1/1 | 21 | 0 | 51% | 21 |
| 17 | CIN vs ARI | 4/6 | 41 | 0 | 70% | 12 |
| 18 | CIN vs CLE | 2/3 | 10 | 0 | 53% | 7 |
SEASON BY SEASON
| Season | G | Tgt | Receiving Yards | Per game | TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 9 | 25 | 116 | 12.9 | 4 | 6.5 |
| 2024 | 17 | 61 | 479 | 28.2 | 6 | 8.1 |
| 2025 | 15 | 58 | 435 | 29 | 2 | 7.1 |
CAREER VS TB
No career game against TB on record in the 2022-2025 seasons WinForge stores. There is no head-to-head sample to lean on here, which is itself worth knowing.
WHY THIS PROJECTION MOVES
Andrei Iosivas is tagged as WR3 rotation for CIN. The page uses top-3 WR projection volume for CIN, then layers in a middle-tier prior matchup with TB ranked #19 vs WR and allowing 25.6 fantasy points per game so the public read is tied to this player's actual weekly situation.
ACCURACY FRAMING AND EVERY OTHER WEEK 1 PROJECTION
In the independent 2025 test using games kept out of training, the WinForge receiving-yards model explained 59% of the variation in actual WR receiving yards. The model-fit result shows how closely projections tracked real differences in results; it is not a hit rate. Read the accuracy ledger and methodology for context.
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