Week 1 NFL player projection
Parris Campbell
PROJECTION
Parris Campbell is a DAL WR facing NYG in Week 1. His most complete season on record is 2023: 8 games for 104 receiving yards. Below: the WinForge median projection, and the limited record behind it.
WHERE PARRIS CAMPBELL IS TRENDING
The trend on Parris Campbell points down, and the projection has to be read against that first. Per game he has fallen from 36.6 in 2022 to 13 in 2023 — down 65%.
Availability is part of the story: 1 games on record in 2025, best of 0 in Week 6, worst of 0.
Measured against this week's 50.8 projection, he cleared it in 0 of 1 games last season.
MEDIAN PROJECTION
WinForge projection (median)
51
Receiving Yards
WinForge projection (median)
3.9
Receptions
DAL vs NYG · Sun, Sep 13 · updated Jul 18, 2026. These weekly projections are prepared for Week 1. This is the median: half of the outcomes WinForge simulates land above it and half below.
HOW HE ACTUALLY FINISHED IN 2025
0
Receiving Yards / game
0/1
games clearing this projection
0
touchdowns
4%
avg snap share
2025 GAME LOG
| Wk | Matchup | Rec/Tgt | Receiving Yards | TD | Snap | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | DAL vs CAR | 0/0 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -- |
SEASON BY SEASON
| Season | G | Tgt | Receiving Yards | Per game | TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 91 | 623 | 36.6 | 3 | 10.6 |
| 2023 | 8 | 27 | 104 | 13 | 0 | 5.1 |
| 2024 | 4 | 8 | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CAREER VS NYG
| Season | Wk | Team | Rec/Tgt | Receiving Yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Wk 7 | PHI | 0/1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | Wk 17 | IND | 3/6 | 52 | 0 |
WHY THIS PROJECTION MOVES
Parris Campbell is tagged as WR4 rotation for DAL. The page uses top-4 WR projection volume for DAL, then layers in a middle-tier prior matchup with NYG ranked #22 vs WR and allowing 26.6 fantasy points per game so the public read is tied to this player's actual weekly situation.
ACCURACY FRAMING AND EVERY OTHER WEEK 1 PROJECTION
In the independent 2025 test using games kept out of training, the WinForge receiving-yards model explained 59% of the variation in actual WR receiving yards. The model-fit result shows how closely projections tracked real differences in results; it is not a hit rate. Read the accuracy ledger and methodology for context.
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