Week 1 NFL player projection
TreVeyon Henderson
PROJECTION
Public teaser for NE RB. WinForge shows the median projection for the primary stat view, then keeps deeper simulation and market-comparison tools inside Pro.
MATCHUP
NE vs SEA
Wed, Sep 9, 12:00 AM UTC
Updated Jul 10, 2026. The snapshot is stamped for Week 1.
MEDIAN PROJECTION
WinForge projection (median)
57
Rushing Yards
WinForge projection (median)
0.8
Receptions
WHY THIS PROJECTION MOVES
TreVeyon Henderson is tagged as RB2 rotation for NE. The page uses top-2 RB projection volume for NE, then layers in a tougher prior matchup with SEA ranked #2 vs RB and allowing 16.1 fantasy points per game so the public read is tied to this player's actual weekly situation.
The football logic is simple: role drives opportunity, opponent context shapes efficiency, and game environment affects how often a player can reach the stat that matters for fantasy and prop research.
ACCURACY FRAMING
In the 2025 hold-out test, the WinForge rushing-yards model explained 42% of the variance in actual RB rushing yards.
R² measures variance explained, not hit rate. Read the accuracy ledger and methodology for context.
UNLOCK THE FULL PRO VIEW
Pro adds the complete simulation view, market comparison tools, probability research, and portfolio sizing context inside the app. The public page intentionally shows only the median teaser.