Week 1 NFL player projection
Brandon Johnson
PROJECTION
Brandon Johnson is a LV WR facing MIA in Week 1. His most complete season on record is 2024: 1 games for 9 receiving yards. Below: the WinForge median projection, and the limited record behind it.
MEDIAN PROJECTION
WinForge projection (median)
51
Receiving Yards
WinForge projection (median)
4.1
Receptions
LV vs MIA · Sun, Sep 13 · updated Jul 18, 2026. These weekly projections are prepared for Week 1. This is the median: half of the outcomes WinForge simulates land above it and half below.
WHAT THE RECORD SHOWS
The record on Brandon Johnson is short: 1 games in 2024 for 9 receiving yards. That is too small a sample to call a trend, so the projection leans on role and matchup rather than his own history.
SEASON BY SEASON
| Season | G | Tgt | Receiving Yards | Per game | TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 14 | 42 | 10.5 | 1 | 4.8 |
| 2023 | 10 | 30 | 284 | 28.4 | 4 | 8.1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 2.4 |
CAREER VS MIA
| Season | Wk | Team | Rec/Tgt | Receiving Yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Wk 3 | DEN | 2/3 | 12 | 0 |
WHY THIS PROJECTION MOVES
Brandon Johnson is tagged as WR1 for LV. The page uses team-leading WR projection volume in the current weekly board, then layers in a tougher prior matchup with MIA ranked #6 vs WR and allowing 21.3 fantasy points per game so the public read is tied to this player's actual weekly situation.
ACCURACY FRAMING AND EVERY OTHER WEEK 1 PROJECTION
In the independent 2025 test using games kept out of training, the WinForge receiving-yards model explained 59% of the variation in actual WR receiving yards. The model-fit result shows how closely projections tracked real differences in results; it is not a hit rate. Read the accuracy ledger and methodology for context.
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