Week 1 NFL player projection
Olamide Zaccheaus
PROJECTION
Olamide Zaccheaus is a ATL WR facing PIT in Week 1. He averaged 22 receiving yards across 14 recorded 2025 games, in a range from 0 to 58. Below: the WinForge median projection, then the record it has to be judged against.
WHERE OLAMIDE ZACCHEAUS IS TRENDING
The trend on Olamide Zaccheaus points down, and the projection has to be read against that first. Per game he has fallen from 33.3 in 2022 to 22.4 in 2025 — down 33%.
Availability is part of the story: 14 games on record in 2025, best of 58 in Week 9, worst of 0.
Measured against this week's 53.3 projection, he cleared it in 1 of 14 games last season.
Split his 14 games down the middle and the two halves do not match: 26.4 receiving yards per game early, then 18.3 late.
MEDIAN PROJECTION
WinForge projection (median)
53
Receiving Yards
WinForge projection (median)
4.1
Receptions
ATL vs PIT · Sun, Sep 13 · updated Jul 18, 2026. These weekly projections are prepared for Week 1. This is the median: half of the outcomes WinForge simulates land above it and half below.
HOW HE ACTUALLY FINISHED IN 2025
22.4
Receiving Yards / game
1/14
games clearing this projection
65
targets
58%
avg snap share
White line = his actual median (21.5). Gold line = this week's WinForge projection (53.3). This bar is built from recorded results, not a modelled range.
THE SHAPE OF HIS 2025 SEASON
His 2025 weeks were not evenly spread. The best was 58 receiving yards in Week 9 against CIN; the quietest was 0 in Week 15 against CLE. He finished above his own 22-per-game average in 7 of 14 games.
He accounted for at least one touchdown in 2 of 14 games, never more than one in a game. Scoring is the most volatile part of any projection, so a record built on a handful of multi-score weeks reads differently from one spread evenly.
His longest single play on record in 2025 went for 27 yards. That single play is worth about 121% of an average game for him, which is the difference between a total built on steady volume and one that depends on a single play landing.
His snap share held roughly steady through the season: about 52% across his first 4 recorded games and 57% across his last 4. A stable role is the part of a projection least likely to be wrong.
Across those games he handled 65 targets and 4 carries.
2025 GAME LOG
| Wk | Matchup | Rec/Tgt | Receiving Yards | TD | Snap | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI vs MIN | 4/7 | 42 | 0 | 45% | 16 |
| 2 | CHI vs DET | 2/5 | 12 | 0 | 44% | 9 |
| 3 | CHI vs DAL | 3/4 | 24 | 0 | 58% | 12 |
| 4 | CHI vs LV | 5/6 | 41 | 0 | 60% | 13 |
| 6 | CHI vs WAS | 2/6 | 24 | 0 | 84% | 14 |
| 7 | CHI vs NO | 2/3 | 9 | 0 | 52% | 6 |
| 8 | CHI vs BAL | 7/7 | 33 | 0 | 60% | 6 |
| 9 | CHI vs CIN | 6/8 | 58 | 1 | 64% | 15 |
| 10 | CHI vs NYG | 1/4 | 5 | 0 | 57% | 5 |
| 12 | CHI vs PIT | 1/1 | 6 | 0 | 35% | 6 |
| 13 | CHI vs PHI | 2/3 | 19 | 0 | 28% | 10 |
| 14 | CHI vs GB | 2/3 | 7 | 1 | 79% | 6 |
| 15 | CHI vs CLE | 0/3 | 0 | 0 | -- | -- |
| 16 | CHI vs GB | 2/5 | 33 | 0 | 86% | 27 |
SEASON BY SEASON
| Season | G | Tgt | Receiving Yards | Per game | TD | PPR/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 61 | 533 | 33.3 | 3 | 8.2 |
| 2023 | 11 | 20 | 164 | 14.9 | 2 | 3.9 |
| 2024 | 15 | 64 | 506 | 33.7 | 3 | 9.1 |
| 2025 | 14 | 65 | 313 | 22.4 | 2 | 7.5 |
CAREER VS PIT
| Season | Wk | Team | Rec/Tgt | Receiving Yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wk 12 | CHI | 1/1 | 6 | 0 |
| 2024 | Wk 10 | WAS | 1/3 | 8 | 0 |
| 2022 | Wk 13 | ATL | 2/5 | 13 | 0 |
WHY THIS PROJECTION MOVES
Olamide Zaccheaus is tagged as WR3 rotation for ATL. The page uses top-3 WR projection volume for ATL, then layers in a softer prior matchup with PIT ranked #27 vs WR and allowing 28.6 fantasy points per game so the public read is tied to this player's actual weekly situation.
ACCURACY FRAMING AND EVERY OTHER WEEK 1 PROJECTION
In the independent 2025 test using games kept out of training, the WinForge receiving-yards model explained 59% of the variation in actual WR receiving yards. The model-fit result shows how closely projections tracked real differences in results; it is not a hit rate. Read the accuracy ledger and methodology for context.
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